Merchandise trade in January shrinks as election concerns take toll

The Uganda monthly goods trade deficit narrowed at the sharpest rate since 2019 in May as both exports and imports fell, which was most certainly due to election-related uncertainty.

The Uganda goods trade deficit fell 35.7 per cent month on month to $187m, according to central bank data, as imports declined by 19.9 per cent and exports dropped 9.9 per cent.

The decline in merchandise imports — which came in at $597.5m — was the strongest in nine months and was driven by a contraction in private sector imports.

Formal private sector imports were down 26.4 per cent to $529.7m, largely because of a 25.7 per cent fall in non-oil imports to $468.5m. The drop in non-oil imports was driven by declines in mineral products, excluding petroleum products; machinery equipments, vehicles, and accessories; and petroleum products.

Goods exports fell to $410.4m, a three-month low, driven by a 19.2 per cent decline in gold exports to $170.8m. Exports of beans also fell by $6.6m from the previous month to $5.2m.

Coffee exports, on the other hand, rose 5 per cent to $39.7m. Informal cross-border trade exports increased by 7.4 per cent to $42.8m, driven by a $3.9m rise in maize exports to $4.9m.